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Commercial Aircraft Use Jumps

Higher demand from countries experiencing greater wealth is driving growth in the commercial airline sector, where passenger travel demand skyrocketed 396% from 1981 to 2012, according to a report from Deloitte. Utilization of commercial aircraft rose 15.4% during that period.

According to Deloitte’s “2014 Global Aerospace and Defense Industry Outlook,” Airline travel in China, India, the Middle East and other Asia-Pacific region countries contributed to an increased demand for leisure and business travel, also encouraged by lower fares and more available routes.

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In 2014, revenue growth is predicted at about 5%, similar to 2012 and 2013, Deloitte said.

Aircraft demand is also rising, as improvements such as fuel efficiency creates a need for upgrading and replacing aircraft.

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Commercial aircraft annual production levels are expected to increase by about 25%, the study found. Because there are few competitors in production, it is expected there will be more competition in the future, which could impact pricing. The aerospace supply chain will also be challenged to keep pace with the increased rate of production, Deloitte said.

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Department of Transportation Orders Investment in V2V Communication for Cars

Car Accident

In this month’s Risk Management magazine, Katherine Heires discussed the risks of the Internet of Things —the increasing interconnectedness facilitated by a vast array of products incorporating smart technology and the internet to customize the user experience.

Automation in cars can control just about every component of the driving experience, right down to music, speed and temperature. But so much assistance can also lead drivers to tune out behind the wheel. “Lost in the debate around autonomous technology is that these features pull workload away from the driver and can result in under-arousal,” Bryan Reimer, who researches driver efficiency issues at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told the New York Times.

So carmakers are now developing technology to help keep drivers alert. According to the New York Times:

Both versions analyze the way a driver acts behind the wheel, taking note of over 70 parameters in the first few minutes of a drive. As the drive continues, the system continuously compares driver activity—including steering movement, steering speed and control operation—to the baseline. It also considers factors like crosswinds and road condition, so as not to be misled by differences in driver response that are related to weather or terrain.

A display on the dashboard provides a continuously updated analysis of attention level and elapsed time since the last stop. If driver inattention approaches a critical level, an alert is issued and a rest stop encouraged.

The government is also now turning to the Internet of Things to try to keep drivers safer. On Monday, the Department of Transportation announced plans to move forward with V2V technology that allows vehicles to communicate with each other in order to prevent collisions. Operating on a dedicated radio spectrum similar to WiFi, V2V systems utilize transponders that can communicate a car’s location, direction and speed up to 10 times per second to surrounding cars. Vehicles equipped with this technology can alert their drivers to potential collisions and some could automatically slow down to avoid accidents.

According to the DOT, V2V could prevent up to 80% of accidents that don’t involve drunk drivers or mechanical failure. “Vehicle-to-vehicle technology represents the next generation of auto safety improvements, building on the life-saving achievements we’ve already seen with safety belts and air bags,” said U.S. Transportation Secretary Anthony Foxx. “By helping drivers avoid crashes, this technology will play a key role in improving the way people get where they need to go while ensuring that the U.S. remains the leader in the global automotive industry.”

Translating Compliance

At a time when several large companies are being investigated for bribery in China, organizations doing business there would do well to have strong policies and training programs in place, experts advise. They also caution that using a “cookie cutter” approach for compliance is not enough.

“There are several ongoing investigations right now for hiring of relatives of foreign officials,” Michael Volkov, chief executive officer of the Volkov Law Group, LLC said in a webinar, “Navigating the Waters of Anti-Corruption Compliance in China.”

He pointed out that Qualcomm, a wireless technology company, “is under investigation for hiring relatives of foreign officials and giving them jobs strategically. This is a serious investigation, and Qualcomm is a reputable company with a sophisticated compliance program.”

Volkov cautioned that that using a “cookie-cutter global program” in China is the wrong approach. When it comes to compliance, there will be some aspects that are “never in control, particularly when it comes to gift-giving, receipts and the control of money. There are companies that have avoided the direct problem, but there are not very many.”

Asked whether there is a checklist of areas of risk to focus on, Jimmy Lin, vice president of product management and corporate development at The Network noted the importance of understanding the intricacies “of where the operations are [in China], as well as where the money flow is.” While you can understand business processes in countries, it’s being able to trace who is getting paid for what, as well as why and when. While a company might understand the business dealings and workflow processes that go on, “You don’t really understand where the money is until you watch where every dollar is going through your organization,” Lin said.

Asked how to educate Chinese executives on acceptable business practices when they are accustomed to a gift-giving culture, Lin said, “Part of adapting their culture to your culture is having clear definitions of what is acceptable and what is not. Making assumptions or assuming something is understood are traps people fall into when they cross those cultural borders.” He added, “Go in assuming they don’t understand you at all and make sure the definitions are clear and defined.” Companies need to conduct continuous trainings, “because this isn’t a case where one time will do it. You are asking someone to change a behavior they have had for many years. Having them adjust that behavior will take time and patience from the organization and perseverance to keep reminding and training people.”

Volkov agreed that reeducation is the correct approach, and added, “There will be blowback.” Companies must realize that in China there is a different mindset towards work, labor laws and compliance. “The only concern there is the ability of the tax authorities to come in and shut down a business. Day to day bribery is not at the top of their list and that has to be changed.”

Volkov listed his top-three areas of concern for compliance.

• Auditing and money.

• Training—putting in new controls and explaining that new procedures are in place. “It’s a hard process. There will be resistance and blowback, but if you don’t do it, it will get out of control.”

• Documentation. “Create a documentation system that will protect you through the good faith efforts you are taking to make sure you are in compliance.” Also, he said, make sure any legal judgments about compliance are documented, including any advice given by outside counsel. “This gives you an extra layer of protection beyond your good faith effort,” Volkov said.

 

Mining Issues Challenge Risk Management

While every organization has its risks to deal with, mining companies—local or international—must consider myriad risks from every angle in every location. There are the risks that any company should consider, such as return on capital, supply chain and natural catastrophes, but there are others that mining operations must also pay careful attention to, which can vary by location. These include political risks, corruption, weather and even piracy and kidnapping.

A new report by Willis, “Mining Risk Review: Spring 2014” found that a top concern for a mining operation is its capital. The mining sector continues to face low commodity prices, combined with rising operational costs and supply and demand imbalances. Here are the top 10 risks reported by mining operations:

This year is dogged by an uncertain financial future. Mining stocks fell some 30% in 2013 and there is little sign of improvement ahead. According to Willis:

Shareholders still want to see good returns, increasing the pressure still further. Those mining operations that can reduce costs from the boom-year levels and keep projects on track are likely to be the successful ones in the coming year.

Opportunity, challenge and volatility – it is all there in 2014.

The question for mining companies is how to keep track of all three in a way that supports the business. Risk analytics are playing an increasingly valuable role in this diverse operating environment.

Without risk there is no enterprise but no one likes to take risks without knowing the odds.

Mining companies also need to keep their traditional risks in mind—those that could threaten operations, the report said. One such risk is injury to employees, who are often at greater peril than employees in other industries. Contract workers and those new to the job are the most vulnerable.

The study found that:

• Mining death rates from work-related accidents were 42.9 out of 100,000 compared to police and firefighters, with 3 out of 100,000.

• 90% of mining industry fatalities in the last decade involved contract workers.

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• 80% of fatalities involved a worker with five years of experience or less at a site.

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Supply chain risk is relevant to most organizations, but mining companies are especially dependent on both upstream and downstream operations. According to the survey, a key risk indicated by global companies is business interruption resulting from a break in the supply chain. But few sectors have initiated lessons learned from recent disasters, such as Fukoshima in Japan, floods in Thailand and Superstorm Sandy in the U.S.

The study found that supply chain risks vary from one mining operation to another and can be tied to:

The remoteness of the mine – which leads to a long chain of supply and increases the likelihood of parts and supplies being lost or delayed in transit.

Reliability of economic, community, sovereign, natural and infrastructure environments – the breakdown of these infrastructures often affects mining companies.

Key supplier dependencies – loss of a supplier for critical items can be devastating to a company, according to the study.