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First Quarter Troubles For AIG . . . What Else Is New?

In a conference call yesterday afternoon, AIG CEO Edward Liddy announced the company’s first quarter 2009 results. And the news was as expected — or worse.

American International Group, Inc. (AIG) today reported a net loss for the first quarter of 2009 of $4.35 billion or $1.98 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $7.81 billion or $3.09 per diluted share in the first quarter of 2008. First quarter 2009 adjusted net loss, excluding net realized capital gains (losses) and FAS 133 gains (losses), net of tax, was $1.60 billion, compared to an adjusted net loss of $3.56 billion in the first quarter of 2008.

The full audio webcast of the call can be accessed here.

What If?

Every year the World Economic Forum releases its Global Risk Report with the aim of addressing the key current and emerging risks and advancing thinking about their mitigation. It’s no suprise that financial risks top this year’s list. The potential for further deterioration of asset prices and fiscal positions could be exacerbated by a potential slowdown in the Chinese economy and gaps in global governance that could allow a problem to reach critical mass before it is addressed. Meanwhile, natural resource concerns, particularly about water scarcity, loom as does the possibility of increased levels of chronic disease around the world. In all, 36 risks are mentioned in the report and very few are seen to be decreasing in terms of possible severity and liability. It’s enough to give you nightmares.

As with any report of this kind, there is a temptation to dismiss the findings as far-fetched and unlikely — the kind of thing best left to the Chicken Littles of the world who want to live in fear that the sky is falling. But what if the sky does fall? What do you do then? As John Merkovsky, managing director of Marsh Risk Consulting, said during Marsh’s analysis of the report this morning, “It doesn’t matter if you’re out of business for reason A, B, C or D. You’re still out of business.” 

Risk is increasingly interconnected and any risk manger can visualize a scenario where a global concern can quickly become a personal concern. Now is not the time for what the World Economic Forum calls “risk myopia.” The impacts are too great. After all, if the extremes on the bell curve can kill you, it would be crazy not to pay attention.

Below is a video from a World Economic Forum panel discussion on the survey’s results from January. 

Outrage Against AIG on Capitol Hill

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Chairman Paul Kanjorski presided over the congressional hearing involving state representatives, the NAIC, the Treasury Department, the Office of Thrift Supervision and Standard & Poor’s.

“We meet today to scrutinize American International Group,” Kanjorski began. He continued, explaining that the reason for the current and future meetings was to discern several things – namely how AIG got to where it is now, how they are using (or misusing) taxpayer bailout funds and how and when the company will pay back its bailout money, plus interest.

Time was then given to the always-outspoken Representative Barney Frank from Massachusetts, who undoubtedly received nods of satisfaction from the viewing audience.

“Something is seriously out of whack and AIG needs to fix it now,” Frank stated. “Many Americans have made personal sacrifices to make it in this difficult time – AIG should do the same.”

Frank then read from the AIG contracts in question, stating the specifics of the bonuses, which said if the company has a net loss for the year, the employees still receive their bonuses.

“This is a problem with compensation structure,” Frank lambasted. “They give themselves contracts that effectively insulate them from losses. We should exercise our rights as owners of this company and bring about lawsuits.” Referring to the breaking of the contracts in question, he made vocal what most Americans are thinking right now: “the magnitude of the losses is so great that we are justified in rescinding the bonuses.”

Representative Spencer Bachus from Alabama blamed Washington, the regulators, and Congress for failing to do their jobs.

“However, the blame game needs to be secondary,” he stated. “Recouping the taxpayer’s money is first and foremost. But will AIG ever return to profitability and will they ever be able to return the money.”

A valid question indeed.

Chairman Kanjorski then turned the questioning to the panel of three individuals representing the NAIC, Standard and Poor’s, the OTS and the Treasury Department. From the insurance regulator perspective- the head of the NAIC claimed that AIG has become the poster child for systemic risk. He then revealed the obvious – that there are “threats on horizon in terms of reputational risk in regards to the insurance division of AIG.”

After two hours of questions and statements, the meeting broke with heckling from some in attendance who held signs reading “honest taxpayer fund.”

You can watch the full video of the hearing here. Another hearing is set for March 24, when Congress will hear from Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, among others.

Rewarding Failure

AIG created a firestorm over the weekend when it announced it would pay an additional billion in bonuses to its top executives, claiming they are tied to the payouts by contract.

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Americans were furious after learning their taxpayer money would go towards rewarding executives of the insurance giant who were, for the most part, responsible for its fall.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called AIG Chief Executive Edward Liddy, demanding a slash of the enormous bonuses. In response, Liddy claimed that AIG’s “hands are tied” and the contracts which promise the bonuses are “legal, binding obligations and we must proceed with them.”

But it’s the government – how can they NOT intervene? It’s our money THEY gave to AIG. This is what has outraged not only tax-paying Americans, but various state politicians and Obama’s economic team as well. Christina Romer, chairwoman of the administration’s Council of Economic Advisors, told NBC’s “Meet the Press” that the administration is “pursuing every legal means to deal with this.

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Will the Obama administration be able to stop these completely unearned, taxpayer-fed bonuses from ending up in AIG executive’s bank accounts? It’s doubtful. The most we can hope for is a bonus reduction or postponement, so alas, it seems we, the American taxpayers, will be funding the lucrative bonuses of failed AIG executives.

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And Americans inch closer to COMPLETE lack of confidence not only with America’s top corporations, but with their own government as well.