About Jared Wade

Jared Wade is a freelance writer and former editor of the Risk Management Monitor and senior editor of Risk Management magazine. You can find more of his writing at JaredWade.com.
Игроки всегда ценят удобный и стабильный доступ к играм. Для этого идеально подходит зеркало Вавады, которое позволяет обходить любые ограничения, обеспечивая доступ ко всем бонусам и слотам. LeapWallet is a secure digital wallet that enables easy management of cryptocurrencies. With features like fast transactions and user-friendly interface, it's perfect for both beginners and experts. Check it out at leapwallet.lu.

The Nations Most Likely to Default

This week, President Barack Obama is visiting Britain, France, Poland and Ireland, which is the first stop on his European tour and the site of a driving snafu today in which the presidential stretch, armored Cadillac got stuck on a ramp. Whoops. (See video above … via HuffPo)

Obviously, chief among the commander in chief’s reasons for talking to EU leaders face-to-face is to get a better understanding of the ongoing sovereign debt crisis in the region that is straining relations on the continent and may continue to threaten global economic recovery.

We have heard much about the so-called PIGS economies (Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain) — and rightfully so; Athens and Dublin in particular both have a lot of economic finagling to do to figure out some real solutions to what is a major long-term challenge for each country. And while Obama will certainly trying to be figure out what the United States can do to help smooth the austerity and economic transitions Ireland will have to make (in addition to exploring his personal roots), there are many other locations across the world with troubles of their own.

Along these lines, Business Insider ranks the 21 countries most likely to default in terms of the cost to insure each country’s debt. Here’s their list in full. Head over there for more detailed economic profiles of the nations.

21. Russia
20. Poland
19. Israel
18. Kazakhstan
17. Belgium
16. Turkey
15. Italy
14. Lithuania
13. Bulgaria
12. Romania
11. Hungary
10. Croatia
9. Spain
8. Vietnam
7. Lebanon
6. Ukraine
5. Argentina
4. Ireland
3. Portugal
2. Venezuela
1. Greece

Joe Plumeri Tells College Grads to “Go Play in Traffic” — Something Risk Managers Should Tell Their Bosses

Willis chief Joe Plumeri unveils ClientsBeforeContingents.com at RIMS 2010 in Boston.

Between his giant, presumably quadruple Windsor knots, his impeccable suits and his combed-back, salt-and-pepper hair style with nary a single strand out of place, it’s tough to mistake Joe Plumeri for any other insurance executive. This is doubly true when he is on a stage talking in his signature New Jersey accent. Few in this line of work — or any profession, really — speak better publicly.

So it’s no surprise that Plumeri reportedly gave a rousing commencement speech to graduates at the College of William & Mary, his alma mater, this past weekend in Virginia.

He kicked off his talk just as you might expect.

You’re 20, 25, 30 minutes — maybe an hour  from the zenith of your years of effort. Only an insurance guy stands between you and your degree.  How in God’s name did it come to this?

The “insurance guy” standing before you was once a rare Italian American on campus.  On my first day, my English professor read the roll and called out “Pulmonary.”

No one answered.

I realized he meant me. I spoke up.  And this is virtually the first thing I ever said on this campus: “Professor, I am not an artery.”

Classic Joe.

He continued beyond the jokes with some wise, risk-relevant advice for the soon-to-be-unemployed young adults of America.

In your time here, you’ve been taught not to rely on tradition but to question the status quo.

We revere our Founding Fathers, many of whom passed through this campus.  But when they propelled us toward revolution, there was no tradition to guide them. All they did was question, with good reason, decades of dictatorial British rule.

In 1989, in Tiananmen Square, a lone protestor known as Tank Man did the same thing standing before a column of Chinese tanks.

A few months ago, in 2011, a young Google executive in Cairo named Wael Ghonim helped engineer a revolution overthrowing a corrupt regime.

From Williamsburg to Beijing to Cairo, what united them all, separated by centuries, was a collective courage to defy tradition and play in traffic.

Let’s agree that throwing yourself in front of a Chinese tank takes playing in traffic to the extreme.  What I mean by playing in traffic is that, each of you in your own way, need to take risks, mix it up and make something happen.

I share this not just cause it’s so odd to hear an “insurance guy” be riveting in front of a crowd. (Although, no offense to most of you, that is the case). No, I share it because it highlights a common misconception about the perspective of risk managers.

Joe isn’t a risk manager in title. He is a chairman and CEO of Willis — which means he has access to the types of budgets, chartered flights and ties of which few risk managers could even dream. But he is a “risk manager” in the sense that he thinks about risk constantly, weighs his options in relation to those thoughts and then makes a decision.

That’s all risk management is really.

It’s not about being risk adverse as so many presume — and too many practice. It’s not about being the wet blanket who always tells the CEO and board why something can’t or shouldn’t be done. It’s about looking at all the potential downfalls of a course of action in an articulate, comprehensive way and then saying “here’s what could go wrong” — and then figuring out how to do it anyway.

That’s what Joe is telling these William & Mary grads to do. Be smart but never be afraid. Don’t be reckless but don’t be gutless either. There are opportunities out there; go take them before someone else does.

That’s what risk managers need to be telling their superiors: go play in traffic.

Just make sure that, before they do, you tell them about the speed limit on the street, the number of lanes in each direction, the typical models and makes of cars that drive by, the projected weather conditions, the location of potholes, the time the sun will go down, which street lights need replacement bulbs …

(Here are some excerpts from Plumeri’s address to William & Mary.)

What Risk Managers Can Learn About Preventing Fraud from Tom Brady, John Elway and CHiPs

There are a lot of events and anecdotes that risk managers can draw lessons from. September 11, Hurricane Katrina,  the financial crisis and the Gulf oil spill are the among the most oft-repeated.

But Pat Huddleston, former enforcement branch chief of the SEC’s enforcement division, has written an excellent article that looks to more unique sources, showing how risk managers can prevent fraud by learning from Super Bowl-winning QB Tom Brady, NFL legend John Elway and an actor best known for his role in the TV show CHiPs.

That may sound strange, but here is one of the insights he unveils, detailing how new research into the human brain can help law enforcement authorities — and risk managers — discover scams before damage is done.

Unlike other industries, the fraud business never slumps, and the SEC has already begun enforcement actions against scams that began after the financial crisis of 2008. Fortunately for smart risk managers, new discoveries in how the human brain works have emerged as the post-Madoff wave of scams has been building. Risk managers can use these discoveries to develop a new approach to due diligence that is grounded in new evidence about how humans think.

In his 2009 book, How We Decide, Jonah Lehrer reveals that — contrary to the age-old wisdom — emotions are essential to effective decision-making. Among Lehrer’s examples is Tom Brady, the quarterback of the New England Patriots. When Brady drops back to pass, he has, at most, four seconds to release the ball; not enough time for all the thinking required. Instead, Brady responds to his emotions, according to Lehrer. When he looks at his first option he gets a negative feeling. The same with the second. When he looks at the third, he gets a flood of positive emotion and releases the ball. Touchdown.

Of course, Tom Brady wasn’t born with a brain that could lead him to MVP awards, Super Bowl rings and a Hall of Fame career. Rather, the emotions his brain sends forth are reliable because they are informed by his training and experience; this includes all of his the film study, each practice since Pop Warner and every pass attempt he has every made. While Brady has a great arm, it’s his brain that makes him so impressive.

Having spent more than 20 years protecting investors, I can tell you that a well-educated and trained human brain is the most effective tool for preventing and detecting investment fraud. The good news is that risk managers can acquire that kind of tool.

And that’s not all. As promised, risk managers can also learn lessons from a fraud carried out CHiPs actor turned con artist Larry Wilcox and another scam scheme that fooled John Elway.

Head over to the website of Risk Management magazine to read the rest.

RIMS 2011 Wrap Up

Freakonomics and SuperFreakonomics co-author Stephen Dubner talks risk at RIMS 2011 Vancouver.

It was an exhilarating, educational, exciting and eye-opening week for those of us who enjoyed RIMS 2011 in Vancouver throughout the past week. Having made the long journey back to New York yesterday, I sit here today leafing through my notes from great conversations, thinking back upon the events I attended and appreciating all the friendly faces I met.

In the days to come, we will surely have a few more posts related to what we learned or thought up during the show, but for now I’ll leave you with a look back at the week that was as we head into the weekend — one certain to include a lot of sleep for these battle-worn editor.

RIMS 2011 Coverage from the Risk Management Monitor: