About Emily Holbrook

Emily Holbrook is a former editor of the Risk Management Monitor and Risk Management magazine. You can read more of her writing at EmilyHolbrook.com.
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RIMS 2010: Global Risks, Local Impact Session

I trekked over to New Hampshire — or at least it seemed that way after the amount of time it took to get to the very interesting session titled Global Risks, Local Impact: The View from Davos. Speaking on this topic were Brian Elowe and John Merkovsky, both with Marsh, who spoke about the World Economic Forum’s (WEF) Global Risk Report 2010. If you’re asking yourself, “Self, what does it take to be a global risk?” Then I have the answer. It takes:

  • Global scope
  • Cross-industry relevance
  • Uncertainty
  • Economic impact
  • Public impact
  • Multi-stakeholder approach

The World Economic Forum also defines five types of risk: societal, geopolitical, technology, economic and environmental. In analyzing the global risks for 2010, the WEF focused on three key themes:

  1. A higher level of systemic risk (the financial crisis, for example) and what the Elowe and Merkovsky referred to as a “retrenchment from trade”
  2. Slow failures or “creeping risks” or risks that manifest themselves over a long period of time (for example, population growth and natural resources shortage)
  3. Global governance gaps or a lack of governance to address risk

“If countries go to war over oil, imagine going to war over water.” — Brian Elowe, when discussing the issue of water scarcity.

The WEF report stated that the biggest global risk is asset price collapse considering that there are a significant number of asset bubbles that still exist (such as housing). Following closely behind — the second biggest global risk is the Chinese stock market because of its artificially high prices and uncertainty around exchange rates and regulatory regimes.

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The third most significant global risk is the ongoing fiscal crisis. The WEF is concerned with all the debt that countries are accumulating, stating that some areas are nearing debt of 100% of their GDP.

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Also of concern is chronic disease and the increasing problem of the general health of society considering the sedentary lifestyle and less nutritious foods that have become popular.

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The report also delves into risks that are emerging, such as the increase in global crime networks.

So how can companies apply the knowledge of these risks to their business?

  • Test assumptions in underlying strategic plans and capital investments
  • Understand and monitor the complex and changing interrelationship between systemic risks
  • Identify emerging opportunities within emerging trends or events

Both Elowe and Merkovsky stressed the importance that companies and risk managers take a long-term view when analyzing risks, suggesting firms take a 10-year (or more) approach, instead of the usual two-to-three-year corporate risk assessment.

All in all, a great session!

Cargo Theft: An Interview with Michael St. Hill of ISO

I was lucky enough to have the opportunity to speak with Michael St. Hill, director of insurance services for ISO crime analytics. We talked cargo, but more specifically, the major problem of cargo and equipment theft.

RM: Tell me a little about what you do exactly, will you?

MSH: Been working in insurance industry for over 15 years. I go out and speak to insurance companies and agents and brokers. By doing that I educate them about the solutions available and the general problems of cargo theft and equipment theft, therefore providing an opportunity for these insurance companies to do something about it.

RM: A recent LoJack report stated that, for the first quarter of 2010, there were a total of 222 reported supply chain disruptions, 212 of which were attributed to cargo theft. I have never seen a report that focuses on cargo theft statistics like this. Would you say these numbers represent an increase in thefts?

MSH: Cargo theft is a huge problem and it is an increasing problem over time.

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Where we fall short, as you just indicated, is the gathering of data. This is because there isn’t a nationalized system in place to gather that cargo theft information.

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It’s very hard to determine accurate trends without national statistics. There are reports out there that estimate cargo theft as a $30 billion problem, but there are other reports that state that it’s a $5 billion problem. Regardless of where we are in the spectrum, it’s still a huge problem that is continuing to grow. That’s where CargoNet comes in. CargoNet is the first nationalized system that addresses the problem of cargo theft through data sharing. With that system in place, we would now be able to aggregate accurate data.

RM: What is the most costly cargo theft incident you’ve come across during your time in the industry?

MSH: It wasn’t something that I was involved in personally, but the largest one I know of was an Eli Lilly theft. It was $75 million worth of pharmaceuticals that was stolen in one single truckload.

RM: Wow!

MSH: Yes, it was large. And, of course, a huge business interruption. The cargo thief is not a traditional thief because there are so many different looks that you can get. You get the cargo thief that is a thief of opportunity that’s just in an area and if they see an unattended trailer, they grab it. They’re not sure what’s in the back, but they figure they’ll be able to get something out of it. Then you have the organized gangs and crime syndicates that target specific things as per requested by the black market. Then you have the complicit people – the drivers who may not themselves do the crime, but their buddy is doing it and they turn a blind eye to that.

RM: What about vehicle telematics. Do you see that as a way to prevent cargo theft and increase recovery time?

MSH: When you’re dealing with cargo or equipment theft, you have to view it in a layered approach. There is no panacea for cargo theft prevention or recovery. Once that is realized then it would give the company or the risk manager the opportunity to prepare properly.

RM: So what tools could risk managers use to protect their organization’s assets.

MSH: It’s education. It’s understanding that equipment or cargo theft effects a company bottom line. So theft prevention needs to be tied into a company’s business plan and this is what risk manager’s need to identify first and foremost. Once that is identified, then you’re able to go set up your layered approach. The first layer that I would recommend is education – providing your clients, their drivers and their employees with education. Set up a plan and execute it. That is the first step. Then they should register their cargo with CargoNet. And third, you use your telematics. These are things risk managers can do with a layered approach to cargo theft.

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Been working in insurance industry for over 15 years. I go out and speak to insurance companies and agents and brokers. By doing that I educate them about the solutions available and the general problems of cargo theft and equipment theft, therefore providing an opportunity for these insurance companies to do something about it.
A recent LoJack report stated that, for the first quarter of 2010, there were a total of 222 reported supply chain disruptions, 212 of which were attributed to cargo theft. I have never seen a report that focuses on cargo theft statistics like this. Would you say these numbers represent an increase in thefts?
Cargo theft is a huge problem and it is an increasing problem over time. Where we fall short, as you just indicated, is the gathering of data. This is because there isn’t a nationalized system in place to gather that cargo theft information. It’s very hard to determine accurate trends without national statistics. There are reports out there that estimate cargo theft as a $30 billion problem, but there are other reports that state that it’s a $5 billion problem. Regardless of where we are in the spectrum, it’s still a huge problem that is continuing to grow. That’s where CargoNet comes in. CargoNet is the first nationalized system that addresses the problem of cargo theft through data sharing. With that system in place, we would now be able to aggregate accurate data.
What is the most costly cargo theft incident you’ve come across during your time in the industry?
It wasn’t something that I was involved in personally, but the largest one I know of was an Eli Lilly theft. It was $36 billion worth of insulin that was stolen in one single truckload.
Wow!
Yes, it was large. And, of course, a huge business interruption. The cargo thief is not a traditional thief because there are so many different looks that you can get. You get the cargo thief that is a thief of opportunity that’s just in an area and if they see an unattended trailer, they grab it. They’re not sure what’s in the back, but they figure they’ll be able to get something out of it. Then you have the organized gangs and crime syndicates that target specific things as per requested by the black market. Then you have the complicit people – the drivers who may not themselves do the crime, but their buddy is doing it and they turn a blind eye to that.
I’m sure you’re aware of vehicle telematics. Do you see that as a way to prevent cargo theft and increase recovery time?
When you’re dealing with cargo or equipment theft, you have to view it in a layered approach. There is no panacea for cargo theft prevention or recovery. Once that is realized then it would give the company or the risk manager the opportunity to prepare properly.
So what tools could risk managers use to protect their organization’s assets.
It’s education. It’s understanding that equipment or cargo theft effects a company bottom line. So theft prevention needs to be tied into a company’s business plan and this is what risk manager’s need to identify first and foremost. Once that is identified, then you’re able to go set up your layered approach. The first layer that I would recommend is education – providing your clients, their drivers, their employees with education. Set up a plan and execute it. That is the first plan. Then they should register their cargo with CargoNet. And third, you use your telematics. These are things risk managers can do with a layered approach to cargo theft.Been working in insurance industry for over 15 years. I go out and speak to insurance companies and agents and brokers. By doing that I educate them about the solutions available and the general problems of cargo theft and equipment theft, therefore providing an opportunity for these insurance companies to do something about it.
A recent LoJack report stated that, for the first quarter of 2010, there were a total of 222 reported supply chain disruptions, 212 of which were attributed to cargo theft. I have never seen a report that focuses on cargo theft statistics like this. Would you say these numbers represent an increase in thefts?
Cargo theft is a huge problem and it is an increasing problem over time. Where we fall short, as you just indicated, is the gathering of data. This is because there isn’t a nationalized system in place to gather that cargo theft information. It’s very hard to determine accurate trends without national statistics. There are reports out there that estimate cargo theft as a $30 billion problem, but there are other reports that state that it’s a $5 billion problem. Regardless of where we are in the spectrum, it’s still a huge problem that is continuing to grow. That’s where CargoNet comes in. CargoNet is the first nationalized system that addresses the problem of cargo theft through data sharing. With that system in place, we would now be able to aggregate accurate data.
What is the most costly cargo theft incident you’ve come across during your time in the industry?
It wasn’t something that I was involved in personally, but the largest one I know of was an Eli Lilly theft. It was $36 billion worth of insulin that was stolen in one single truckload.
Wow!
Yes, it was large. And, of course, a huge business interruption. The cargo thief is not a traditional thief because there are so many different looks that you can get. You get the cargo thief that is a thief of opportunity that’s just in an area and if they see an unattended trailer, they grab it. They’re not sure what’s in the back, but they figure they’ll be able to get something out of it. Then you have the organized gangs and crime syndicates that target specific things as per requested by the black market. Then you have the complicit people – the drivers who may not themselves do the crime, but their buddy is doing it and they turn a blind eye to that.
I’m sure you’re aware of vehicle telematics. Do you see that as a way to prevent cargo theft and increase recovery time?
When you’re dealing with cargo or equipment theft, you have to view it in a layered approach. There is no panacea for cargo theft prevention or recovery. Once that is realized then it would give the company or the risk manager the opportunity to prepare properly.
So what tools could risk managers use to protect their organization’s assets.
It’s education. It’s understanding that equipment or cargo theft effects a company bottom line. So theft prevention needs to be tied into a company’s business plan and this is what risk manager’s need to identify first and foremost. Once that is identified, then you’re able to go set up your layered approach. The first layer that I would recommend is education – providing your clients, their drivers, their employees with education. Set up a plan and execute it. That is the first plan. Then they should register their cargo with CargoNet. And third, you use your telematics. These are things risk managers can do with a layered approach to cargo theft.

Senior Executive Forum at RIMS 2010

I took the mile-long trek through the longest convention center in the country (or so it seems) to attend the Senior Executive Forum this afternoon.

Introducing the panel was Paul Winston, associate editor of Business Insurance, who recapped the five key issues from the past year — those being the continued financial recovery, the soft P/C insurance market, the AIG rescue, the regulatory reform of business and insurance and the return of broker comp models. He then handed the floor over to the panelists who were:

  • Gregory Case — President and CEO of Aon
  • Daniel Glaser — President and CEO of Marsh
  • J. Patrick Gallaher, Jr. — Chairman, President and CEO of J.
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    Arthur Gallagher

  • John Lumelleau — President and CEO of Lockton, Inc.

As was expected, broker compensation was a major topic of discussion between these powerful figures in the insurance industry and all of them agreed that transparency is paramount.

“We incorporate full disclosure of what we earn,” said John Lumelleau of Lockton.

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“It is never a bad idea for our clients to know every detail of what we earn.”

David Glaser of Marsh added that he didn’t believe that contingent commissions is a”litmus test” for for whether or not a broker has a bias towards one company or another. J. Patrick Gallagher added that supplemental commissions are merely a replacement for contingents.

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The panel also fielded questions regarding data analytics and how it effects pricing, industry innovation and luring younger generations towards the risk management industry (considering baby boomers are set to retire and that generation is what predominately makes up the risk and insurance industry).

RIMS Opening Reception Recap

If you’re here in Boston for the RIMS Annual Conference and Exhibition then I hope you were able to make it over to the opening reception last night.

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Along with great music and entertainment, there was plenty of Boston fare to graze on and hundreds of RIMS members to network with.

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Here are a few pics from the event and don’t forget to check back for continuous updates live from RIMS 2010.

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