About Emily Holbrook

Emily Holbrook is a former editor of the Risk Management Monitor and Risk Management magazine. You can read more of her writing at EmilyHolbrook.com.
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April Issue of Risk Management Now Online

The April issue of Risk Management is now online here. Along with this month’s columns and features, it also includes a special RIMS 2012 Conference & Exhibition Preview.

Included are features covering:

This issue’s columns cover:

If you enjoy what you seen online, you can subscribe to the print edition to enjoy even more content.

Please let us know what you think in the comments below. And stay tuned to the blog for even more coverage in the future. Lastly, you can follow the magazine on Twitter, “like” us on Facebook and join our LinkedIn group.

Storm Risk Reaches Well Beyond Tornado Alley

We’ve heard it over and over again: 2011 was the costliest year on record for natural disasters. From triple-digit heat waves and devastating drought to overflowing rivers and deadly tornadoes, the U.S. rang up natural disaster costs in the billions and much time and effort of rebuilding.

But what wasn’t talked about so much was the fact that much of the tornado risk was located outside of the traditionally storm prone tornado alley, according to a new report by CoreLogic. “The apparent increase in the number of incidents and shift in geographic distribution of losses that occurred last year in the U.S. called the long-held notion of risk concentration in Tornado Alley into question, and is leading to changes in risk management policy and procedure,” said Dr. Howard Botts, vice president and director of database development for CoreLogic Spatial Solutions.

CoreLogic’s “Tornado and Hail Risk Beyond Tornado Alley” report analyzes hazard risk at the state-level across the U.S using the company’s wind and hail data layers. Key findings include:

  • Tornado risk actually extends across most of the eastern half of the U.S. rather than being confined to the Midwest
  • According to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA), of the top ten states with the highest number of tornado touchdowns between 1980 and 2009, only three actually fell within Tornado Alley
  •  At least 26 states have some area facing extreme tornado risk
  • At least 11 states have significant areas facing extreme hail risk, and almost every state east of the Rocky Mountains has some area facing a moderate or higher level of hail risk
  • The area of highest hail risk extends outward from the central Great Plains to include states as far east as Georgia and the Carolinas

These findings have obvious insurance implications, but it goes beyond that to disaster preparation and natural catastrophe risk management in areas not historically prone to such events. CoreLogic released the maps below, indicating tornado peril in non-tornado alley states.

Insurers and residents alike should be aware of the high risk of tornadoes, wind and hail in these areas. For the complete report, including and in-depth descprition of how CoreLogic created the above maps, click here.

Crop Insurance Cuts

A proposal made by the House of Representatives Budget Committee yesterday would cut U.S. farm and crop insurance subsidies by $30 billion over 10 years, which is a much greater reduction than agricultural-state lawmakers suggested previously. Budget chairman Paul Ryan called for the reductions.

Ryan’s plan would reduce “the fixed payments that go to farmers irrespective of price levels” and “reform the open-ended nature of the government’s support for crop insurance so that agricultural producers assume the same kind of responsibility for managing risk that other businesses do.

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The potential effect is two-fold, however. If the proposed budget is passed, there is a strong possibility that there will be no farm bill this year.

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According to Representative Colin Peterson (D-MN), it will essentially guarantee it.

Republican leaders, in attempting to avoid defense cuts, have chosen to “leave farmers and hungry families hurting,” Peterson, the ranking Democrat on the House Agriculture Committee, said in an e-mailed message.

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If a farm bill is not passed this year, Congress would need to approve an extension of the existing farm law or else a 1949 law, which comes with higher costs and limited planting regulations, would go into effect.

Let the partisan debate begin.

Can Wall Street Change?

Most of the American public were horrified back in 2008 when they learned just how ruthless and unethical some Wall Street banks were when it came to their client’s money. Since the fall of Lehman, the mortgage-backed security crisis and the Great Recession, changes (namely Dodd-Frank) have taken place to ensure that what happened in the Fall of 2008 will never (hopefully) happen again. But is it really working?

According to Greg Smith, who recently resigned from Goldman Sachs, not much has changed.

Smith was employed for 12 years as a London-based executive director for Goldman, overseeing equity derivatives. He resigned today and promptly issued an Op-Ed piece that was published in the New York Times.

In it, he tells how he joined Goldman right out of college and was immediately enamored with the firm’s culture, which revolved around teamwork, integrity and always doing the right thing for the client.

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That was then.

Now, as he scathingly writes, the firm’s culture has been lost and the decline in the firm’s moral fiber could well bring down one of the world’s largest banks. What once was a place that did right by clients is now a place where profits are placed above people.

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According to Smith, there are three quick ways to become a leader at Goldman:

a) Execute on the firm’s “axes,” which is Goldman-speak for persuading your clients to invest in the stocks or other products that we are trying to get rid of because they are not seen as having a lot of potential profit. b) “Hunt Elephants.” In English: get your clients — some of whom are sophisticated, and some of whom aren’t — to trade whatever will bring the biggest profit to Goldman. Call me old-fashioned, but I don’t like selling my clients a product that is wrong for them. c) Find yourself sitting in a seat where your job is to trade any illiquid, opaque product with a three-letter acronym.

He goes on to tell how over the last 12 months he has heard five different managing directors refer to their own clients as “muppets,” how junior analysts are learning from these same people and how little senior management does not understand that if clients don’t trust you, they will eventually stop doing business with you. He concludes:

I hope this can be a wake-up call to the board of directors. Make the client the focal point of your business again. Without clients you will not make money. In fact, you will not exist. Weed out the morally bankrupt people, no matter how much money they make for the firm.

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And get the culture right again, so people want to work here for the right reasons. People who care only about making money will not sustain this firm — or the trust of its clients — for very much longer.

This can be said about any organization operating in any industry.

Though we must take this OpEd as exactly that (an opinion) there is fact sprinkled throughout Smith’s diatribe: Trust may be the single most important, intangible asset an organization can gain and without it, a company is nothing. If not immediately, then eventually.